πŸ”₯ U.S. Wildfire Risk Explorer
1,880,465 fire records  Β·  1992–2015  Β·  FPA FOD Database
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About: Explore nearly two decades of U.S. wildfire data from the USFS Fire Program Analysis database. Filter by state, year range, and cause type β€” all charts and maps update instantly. Built by Princess Tagoe Β· πŸ“Š Full analysis on GitHub β†’
1992– 2015
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Total Fires
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selected period
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Acres Burned
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total acres
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Avg Fire Size
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acres per fire
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Human-Caused
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of all fires
Spatial maps
Click a tab to switch between map views Β· Hover for details
HumanLightningΒ· Dot size = fire frequency in 0.5Β° grid cell
Responds to cause type filter Β· Continental U.S. only
Show:
HumanLightningClass FClass G
Responds to year range and cause type Β· Hover a dot for details Β· Continental U.S. only
Static β€” full 1992–2015 actuarial pure risk premium Β· Hover state for value Β· Alaska excluded (off scale)
Annual fire trends
Fires per year (amber) and total acres burned (orange)
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Cause groups
Click to drill down β†’
Human-caused fire breakdown
Specific causes ranked by frequency
ℹ️ How to read
πŸ“Š How to use this section
Step 1:The donut chart shows three top-level cause groups at a glance
Step 2:Click a group button to drill into specific causes within that category
Human:12 specific causes ranked by fire count β€” debris burning, arson, equipment etc.
Lightning:Top 15 states by lightning fire count β€” the only natural cause in U.S. data
Unknown:Missing or undefined cause records β€” 8.9% of all fires
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Lightning is the only natural ignition source in U.S. wildfire records. Lightning fires tend to be larger β€” they ignite in remote areas with limited suppression access.
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Seasonal fire pattern
Monthly activity β€” darker = more intense
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Human vs lightning over time
Annual fire count by cause β€” stacked
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Acres burned per year
Total annual burn area β€” darker = more severe
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Pure risk premium β€” top 15 states
Actuarial: avg fires/yr Γ— avg fire size
ℹ️ What is this?
πŸ“Š Pure Risk Premium β€” Explained
Formula:Avg fires per year Γ— avg acres per fire
Meaning:Expected annual acres burned β€” the actuarial foundation of wildfire insurance pricing
Idaho:High severity-driven risk β€” fewer fires but each burns hundreds of acres on average
California:High frequency-driven risk β€” nearly 8,000 fires per year but smaller average size
Key insight:Two states can have similar pure premiums through completely opposite risk profiles β€” insurers must price them differently
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